orennia.com
Searching Shift Lab onlySearch entire site

Aaron Foyer

Director, Research

Aaron Foyer is Director, Research at Orennia. Prior to Orennia, he leveraged his technical background in management consulting and finance roles. He has experience across the energy landscape including clean hydrogen, renewables, biofuels, oil and gas, petrochemicals and carbon capture.

LinkedIn
Image of Aaron Foyer from Orennia

Latest articles by Aaron Foyer

Download graphic for The New Energy Security report from Orennia's Shift Lab

The New Energy Security

This 38-page perspectives report from Shift Lab gives you a data-rich view of how electrification and clean energy manufacturing are reshaping energy security.

Infographic comparing the cost per mile for electric vehicle drivers across all U.S. states based on electricity prices

What EV Drivers Pay at the ‘Pump’ in Every State

The Iran war's oil price shock has reignited consumer interest in EVs, with dealerships in high-gas states reporting a surge in Ioniq 6 and Model 3 inquiries not seen since the 2022 price spike.

Quantum Computers Will Change Energy

It’s widely expected that, by the end of the decade, quantum computers will reach a level of maturity that they’ll start meaningfully contributing to a major commercial breakthrough and spur interest in the technology the way ChatGPT sparked interest and billions of investments into artificial intelligence.

World map showing the top global natural gas producers by daily production, highlighting the United States, Russia, Iran, China, Canada, and Qatar, with three producers relying on trade through the Strait of Hormuz.

The World's Top Natural Gas Producers in 2024

Natural gas quietly powers much of the modern world. A small number of countries control most of it, with the United States, Russia, Iran, and China together supplying more than half of everything the world produces

Watt's Wrong with the San Francisco 49ers?

You may have heard the theory about the substation near the 49ers practice facility and the apparent link to the team's injury rates. For those of us who spend our working hours focused on power infrastructure, we had to know the truth.

Map showing US winter temperature anomalies, with the Western United States experiencing record warmth and the Eastern United States experiencing record cold relative to the 1895–2026 average

America's Most Lopsided Winter in 131 Years

Map showing US winter temperature anomalies, with the Western United States experiencing record warmth and the Eastern United States experiencing record cold relative to the 1895–2026 average.

Retro American cars in Havana, Cuba

Cuba: Embargoed to the Future

Has Cuba inadvertently become one of the most compelling case studies on how energy sustainability is now energy security?

A gif depicting color motion to depict weather changes

AI is Making Weather Forecasts Better

AI is making weather forecasts better and since renewables are so weather dependent, there are cost impacts to the power grid.

President Richard Nixon sitting in the Oval Office

Energy and the Collapsing Dollar

With fuels sold abroad, many power technologies manufactured overseas and a focus on consumer prices, how will a weaker US dollar impact the energy industry?

Typical Energy Project Cost Overruns

Based on thousands of real-world projects, authors Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner highlighted the typical cost overruns of large capital energy investments.

Image of Fervo’s Cape Station Phase 1 project in Utah

2026: The Year of Fervo?

Fervo, a Houston-based geothermal company that just came off a huge Series E in December, has quietly filed for its IPO and is getting ready to turn on its flagship power project.

Orennia's 2025 Year in Review Report

Eight Charts That Define 2025

2025 will go down in the history books as anything but unremarkable. Here are the eight charts that define what happened this past year.

The New Era of Storage: Navigating FEOC Webinar

The New Era of Storage: Navigating FEOC

Hear from Orennia and Intertek CEA (formerly Clean Energy Associates) experts as they discuss the outlook on trends and FEOC elements affecting storage.

Image of a refinery

An American Thermal Revival

Amid surging power demand from AI-driven data centers, the US is witnessing an unexpected thermal revival. As developers race to secure reliable multi-gigawatt solutions, unconventional approaches are reshaping how America keeps pace with unprecedented load growth.

Image of Texas farmer planting soybean seeds

Billion-dollar Soybean Bailout

To provide relief for being collateral damage from the trade war with China, the White House is considering a $10 to $14 billion bailout for soybean farmers.

Renewable energy analytics, clean fuels and carbon capture.

The Rise of the Electroyuan

Can China turn renewable energy into its own geopolitical hammer with an electric alternative to the petrodollar?

Image of nuclear power plant stacks with an overlay of a Ukrainian and Russian flag

Is Fusion Finally Here?

There have been a number of technological and commercial breakthroughs in nuclear fusion but how realistic is fusion generated electricity?

Global uses of low-carbon hydrogen show that 40% of firm offtake agreements for clean hydrogen since 2021 have been for new-use industries

Clean Hydrogen Offtake Industries

Take a look at global low-carbon hydrogen uses. 40% of firm offtake agreements for clean hydrogen since 2021 have been for new-use industries.

Smog and cooler temperatures in China

The Duality of Sulfur Dioxide

This article takes a look at what we know about sulfur dioxide and what it tells us about where we’re at with climate change.

Infographic showing what countries are generating nuclear power

Each Country’s Share of Nuclear Electricity

Who’s producing nuclear power, who’s just getting started and who’s not interested? This infographic charts each country’s share of nuclear electricity.

A map infographic depicting carbon-free electricity compare to the global electricity mix

Clean Power Around the World

Clean power continues to expand at a rapid pace across the world. Take a look at the continued expansion of global carbon-free power.

Infographic comparing the net effective carbon price and share of GHG covered by the net effective carbon price of countries around the world

The State of Global Carbon Pricing in 2025

A price on carbon remains a widely used financial tool for governments to curb greenhouse gas emissions. This infographic explores carbon pricing around the world.

Infographic showing natural gas production by state and province in North America

North American Gas

It’s expected that natural gas will play a significant role in addressing the near-term needs of data centers for power supply. Take a look at production in North America by state and province.

Infographic showing the growth of renewable power surpassing coal

Global Renewables Set to Overtake Coal

According to the latest International Energy Agency forecasts, renewables are poised to overtake coal as the world's top electricity source by 2025 or 2026 at the latest.

Infographic depicting 8 countries that have phased out coat since signing the Paris Agreement

Since Paris: Countries Shifting from Coal

Once the backbone of industrial economies, coal is now being retired for cleaner, cheaper, and more sustainable energy sources. See the leaders in phasing out coal.

Autonomous Vehicles are Here

What will the impact of autonomous vehicles be on the power sector? Let’s buckle up and find out.

Infographic containing information on the share of global battery manufacturing

The Battery Belt: Mapping Global Manufacturing Hubs

The Big Beautiful Bill Act did not undercut support for batteries, as many had initially feared in the early drafts of the bill, but its provisions come with geopolitical strings attached.

image of floating data

State of the Transition: AI and Data Centers

Hear from Aaron Foyer and Spencer O'Donnell as they discuss the current state of the transition and targeted, data-informed strategies to shape the road ahead.

Where the US Gets Its Copper

Tariffs on copper are likely to impact energy prices. Learn more about America's copper supply.

Can SMRs and non-proliferation coexist?

Can advanced nuclear reactors, with their need for more highly enriched uranium, find success in an increasingly polarized and fractured geopolitical world hostile to upgrading uranium?

Steel Trap: Tariffs Squeezing America’s Energy Future

For consumers of steel, including energy companies, the tariffs complicate supply chains and drive-up projects costs for both clean and conventional energy. This article takes a look at the impact of steel tariffs.

Info graphic outlining carbon-free power across Canada and the United States

The State of Low-Carbon Power

North America is home to some of the most diverse low-carbon power portfolios in the world. Have a look.

A chart showing global car sales vs. electric cars

Peak ICE, Baby

Global sales of internal combustion engine vehicles have been sliding for nearly a decade, and the skid marks aren’t stopping anytime soon.

Image of a deep-sea mining truck about to be lowered into the water

Twenty Thousand Manganese Under the Seas: Deep-sea Mining

The market value of critical minerals continues to sky rocket, leading companies and governments to look at developing some of the largest, most concentrated mineral deposits on Earth, found under the sea.

Remaining Department of Energy Loans

While the Department of Energy has canceled funding for several high-profile energy projects, there is still nearly $47 billion worth of loans still conditionally committed.

The Power Footprint of Data Centers

Data centers are rapidly becoming some of the largest electricity consumers in the world. A single hyperscale data center can draw between 20 and 100 megawatts, similar in scale to a major hospital campus or even a moderate industrial plant.

Image of a worker on scaffolding that is backlit

The Energy Boom’s Labor Bust

By the end of the decade, there could be 20 million new jobs across the various energy sectors but in North America, filling these new roles will be a challenge.

The Cheapest PPA in America

Orennia has collected thousands of announced power project price contracts, known as power purchase agreements (PPAs). So what is the lowest PPA in our platform?

America’s Rare Earth Reckoning

China's export controls on critical minerals could severely impact America’s ability to build a modern 21st century economy and keep pace with national defense.

Image of a human-like android

Rise of the Machines

Find out how humanoid robots will impact energy use with at home draw and model training at a grid level.

Infographic showing the largest sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) producers in North America

Cleared for Takeoff: Sustainable Fuel Leaders

Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) remains one of the only viable ways to reduce flight emissions. Take a look at the largest producers in North America.

Image of the Texas and America flags outside of a governement building

Bill 388: Don’t Mess with Texas (Markets)

In normal circumstances, there’s probably no better state than Texas to build new power projects quickly to meet the new data center demand, but Bill 388 would impact that ability.

A map of China gif that shows energy generation of gas, solar, nuclear, wind and coal.

China’s Energy Generation

China is an energy paradox filled with fascinating contradictions. Explore its energy generation.

Image of a gas turbine

The Turbine Logjam

Will gas power be the AI savior many are hoping it will be or will shortages turn out to be too large to overcome?

Image of the inside of a transmission tower

Pulling the Plug: Ontario’s Trade War Gambit

Since 1901, the US and Canada have increased reliance on each other’s energy and infrastructure but how much leverage do Canada’s power exports truly give the country?

gif showing changes in renewables, natural gas, nuclear, oil and coal energy for 2024

Changes in Global Energy Use 2024

Get the highlights of the International Energy Agency's Global Energy Review for changes in energy use in 2024.

An graphic showing the decline of coal use in the US amid the rise of wind and solar power.

US Wind + Solar Now Produce More Than Coal

Americans are using coal a lot less than they were in the early 2000s. Wind and solar combined now generate more power in the US than coal, a significant change in just two decades.

Infographic showing biggest sources of power in states and provinces

Regional Powers: Largest Source of Electricity

Power generation across the US and Canada is tied to long histories of natural resource development and technological innovation. See the biggest source of power in every state and province for 2024.

Ariel view of crop rows in the soil

Biochar: An ancient solution for modern problems

Through its unique ability to both store carbon and foster plant growth, biochar has unexpectedly emerged as one of the top solutions to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.

Infographic showing representation of women in energy sector

Women in Energy: 2025

While the progress of women in energy continues to move forward, there is still a long way to go in the sector for better representation.

America’s National Energy Emergency

Building clean energy is not enough. The energy emergency the US is facing is really about a lack of transmission and capacity.

The BOHO Spread

Influenced by everything from crude oil cycles to Midwestern crop harvests, the biodiesel industry carefully tracks the bean oil-heating oil (BOHO) spread as a key metric, and there are big changes coming.

Infographic chart showing power plant capacity factors for nuclear, geothermal, coal, hydro, gas, wind, and solar

The Workhorse Index: Capacity Factors

Defined as how often a power plant runs at full power, capacity factors (CF) are useful in helping develop and finance projects and to study the impacts to the grid on new projects.

solar panels

How to Build a Solar Project

What are the challenges facing solar project development today? Interconnection agreements, permits and land agreements are all required to develop solar projects.

A map of North America showing where climate-related insurance claims are spiking

The Climate-Driven Insurance Crisis

In December, the US Senate Committee on the Budget reported that climate change is driving higher insurance non-renewal rates in disaster-prone areas. As extreme weather events increase, premiums rise, and insurers often cancel policies when they can't keep up with the risk.

Image of servers in a data center

The Bear Case Against Data Centers

Take a look at data center investment and the potential impacts of AI, data, power supply and workforce resources.

Graphic depicting the natural mineral resources of Greenland

Minerals: Greenland’s Buried Treasure

President Donald Trump has indicated that acquiring Greenland would be of interest for his administration. Why? Greenland contains both a wealth of minerals and sits in a globally strategic location.

Orennia's 2024 Year in Review Report

Get a full recap of the energy transition market trends over the past 12 months and gain valuable insights for the coming year.

A gif showing the each state's share of solar wind and water between 2005 and 2023

The Growing Share of Wind-Solar-Water Generation

Over the past 20 years, the US has seen remarkable growth in its renewable energy sector, with wind, solar, and hydro emerging as cornerstones of the nation’s transition to cleaner energy.

United Nations Conference of the Parties

Historical UN Climate Conference Attendance

Attendance at United Nation’s climate change Conference of Parties (COPs) has been increasing over the years, reflecting growing global concern and engagement with climate issues.

Renewable Natural Gas: Backing up AI

Biogas innovation meets data center demands. Explore RNG's role in delivering reliable, low-carbon backup power for tech giants.

A map of North America gif showing various power generation by economic output including solar, wind, natural gas, coal, hydro and nuclear

Power Generation and the Economy

Electricity generation across the US and Canada varies by region from differences in geography, available natural resources, and energy policies.

A graphic depiction of the timeline for nuclear power start-ups from concepts and research through to construction and development

The Status of Key Nuclear Start-ups

A wave of new nuclear companies has emerged, driven by the need for clean baseload power. Particularly Big Tech companies and data center builders are driving enthusiasm for the technology.

BECCS: Seeing the Forest for the Trees

Can harvesting wood for energy help reduce emissions while preserving forests? Unpack the promise and controversy of BECCS.

The 2024 Data Center Fantasy Draft

Explore the energy winners and losers of the data center boom. Learn who's thriving and who's struggling in this industry shift.

The Return of US Manufacturing Jobs

Can the US manufacturing sector reclaim its strength? Explore key trends shaping jobs, trade, and resilience. Learn more now.

A graph showing the trend line for repowering wind capacity in the United States

The Big Trend in Wind: Repowering

Many of the early wind power projects installed in North America are ripe for an upgrade. Wind repowering is a process that involves replacing old wind turbines or their components to capture more energy, improve performance and often requalifying for tax credits.

Two graphs side by side showing the increase in solar power in 2024 and the decrease of wind power in 2024.

2024 Trends: Wind and Solar

Orennia forecasts 37 GW of U.S. solar growth in 2024 while wind slows to 7 GW, highlighting a shift in renewable momentum.

A pie chart showing key carbon markets in North America

Comparison: Key North American Carbon Markets

Carbon markets are increasingly popular as a market-based approach to reducing greenhouse gas emissions. They offer financial incentives to companies to decarbonize by placing a cost on carbon emissions while offering credits for overachieving reductions.

Turning Down the Heat: The Race to Decarbonize Industry

The central reason policy makers care about industrial heat is that the sector is responsible for more than 20% of global carbon dioxide emissions. In the US alone, an estimated 759 million tonnes of carbon dioxide come from industrial heating annually.

Image of a battery storage facility in the hills

The Energy-Water Nexus

Dive into the Energy-Water Nexus: Explore how water scarcity impacts energy and the role of new tech in this evolving challenge.

North America’s Largest Hydro Dams

North America has a rich history of large-scale hydroelectric projects, which have played a significant role in shaping the continent’s energy landscape. These projects harness the immense power of rivers to generate electricity, providing a renewable and reliable energy source.

A chart showing how clean energy investments are growing in the United States

Increased US Cleantech Spending

Clean energy investment in the US has been growing substantially in recent years, reflecting a broad-based shift towards sustainable energy solutions.

A chart showing electricity price increases in US states

States Paying More for Electricity

U.S. residential power prices surged ~30% since 2020, driven by rising fuel costs, grid upgrades, and regional factors.

Chart showing the largest developers of carbon capture in North America

North American Carbon Capture Hubs

Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) reduces CO2 emissions from industry by capturing, using, or storing it safely.

Large scale data center building complex in The Netherlands at night.

Data Centers 101

Explore the rise of data centers and their impact on the energy sector. Learn how AI is shaping future energy demand.

Chart showing the demand of industrial heat

Industrial Heat: It’s Getting Hot in Here

Industrial heat refers to the thermal energy needed for various industrial processes. It’s critical for manufacturing, driving everything from chemical reactions to material transformation. Industries like cement, iron and steel all require large amounts of hot industrial heat. Doing so creates large amounts of greenhouse gas emissions.

Infographic depicting methane emissions across North America

Methane Emissions Across North America

Methane poses a critical environmental challenge due to its potent impact on climate change. In both the United States and Canada, key sectors are key contributors for methane emissions, each with its unique regional hotspots.

Infographic depicting carbon emissions across North America

Carbon Dioxide Emissions Across North America

Carbon dioxide emissions dispersed across North America, though concentrated in regions with high populations and industrial activities. Areas with more aggregated emissions are focus areas for carbon capture technologies, low-carbon fuel development and clean manufacturing.

Cocktail hour on Lufthansa’s first-class ‘Senator’ service in 1958

Who’s Driving Demand for SAF?

Airlines face limited options to cut emissions. Carbon offsets raise skepticism, potentially adding reputational risk to the industry.

Can We Solve Grid Congestion?

As renewables grow, energy grid congestion increases. Learn about the underlying causes and how this impacts the energy systems.

top energy sources by US government parties

Power Politics: Energy Preferences

Analyze the political differences in energy preferences from a YouGov survey and understand the varying levels of support for 17 energy sources in US

The Adoption S-Curve: Renewables and Batteries

Over the past decade, the US has witnessed a significant shift in its energy landscape, characterized by rapid growth in wind, solar, and battery storage technologies. This transformation is driven by a combination of technological advancements, favorable policies, and a growing recognition of the need for sustainable energy solutions.

How Real is the Natural Hydrogen Hype?

Low-cost hydrogen could spark industry change but may delay a true renewable economy, keeping dependence on non-renewable resources.

A chart showing power capacity additions in the USA in solar, storage, natural gas, wind, coal and other with solar leading in 2024

Solar Dominates New Power Growth

From natural gas dominance to rapid renewable and battery growth, the US energy sector is constantly evolving in the 2020s.

Image of the Vogtle Unit 3 processing tanks inside the reactor building of the Georgia Power Company

Does Small Nuclear Have a Big Future?

Small modular reactors may be the start of a new American nuclear era. Learn about the promise of SMRs in meeting future energy needs.

Graphic showing how the California subsidy is impacting power producers with increasingly negative pricing

CAISO: Mounting Negative Prices

Negative power pricing in CAISO shows producers paying consumers to take electricity—driven by key market factors and dynamics.

The Geotherm-aissance™

A new generation of geothermal technology is emerging, which may meet our growing needs for clean power.

Infographic on the different types of Sustainable Aviation Fuels

Introduction to SAFs

Sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) are alternative fuels that aim to reduce the carbon footprint of aviation by using renewable resources. These fuels are produced from sustainable feedstocks and have lower lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions compared to conventional jet fuels.

Are LFPs Taking Over Batteries?

Batteries, a 200-year-old tech, are evolving fast. LFP advances are driving down costs and accelerating energy storage deployment.

Could AI Derail Electrification Efforts?

Explore how AI's rising energy demands could challenge electrification and impact decarbonization targets amid growing data center needs.